Twitter will archive content of web links and tweets before 2018
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-21; known on 2017-12-31; judged wrong by pranomostro on 2019-05-06.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-09-21
- RandomThinker said “so that you have a historical record of events as tweeted in real time” on 2012-09-21
- gwern estimated 30% and said “can you name a single large website or webservice which does this, besides Google Cache which is temporary?” on 2012-09-21
- gwern said “http://www.technologyreview.com/view/429274/history-as-recorded-on-twitter-is-vanishing-from/ seems relevant” on 2012-09-21
- jakewalker estimated 40% on 2012-09-22
- RandomThinker said “@gwern yea I saw a similar article. I think eventually Twitter will change. They’re in the history business.They might let the users choose whether to make themselves historical, and maybe let selected hashtags be historical.” on 2012-09-22
- gwern said “archiving links doesn’t add value to their advertising. such archiving is something one would expect a nonprofit like WMF to do, and even they don’t do it yet…” on 2012-09-22
- RandomThinker said “Twitter starting to offer archive. What’d I tell ya? They are in the history business! http://techcrunch.com/2012/12/16/twitter-starts-rolling-out-option-to-download-your-twitter-archive-request-every-tweet-youve-ever-made-in-one-file/” on 2012-12-19
- RandomThinker said “Not clear links are archived though… probably not, although I expect that to happen next. What good is a bunch of tweet with broken links?” on 2012-12-19
- RandomThinker changed the deadline from “on 2017-01-01” on 2012-12-19
- gwern said “downloading your twitters is not archiving, any more than gmail archives every link in emails you send just because there’s POP/IMAP… it’s just bare-bones minimal data portability” on 2012-12-20
- themusicgod1 estimated 36% and said “Running out of time. Copyright maximalists have made being in the history business expensive and Twitter is cutting on useful functionality like this over time.” on 2016-10-10
- pranomostro estimated 20% on 2018-12-08
- pranomostro said “I don’t know of any such project.” on 2019-05-06
- pranomostro judged this prediction wrong on 2019-05-06.