“Butterfly Labs ASIC will achieve 350 Mhash/Joule” —Bets of Bitcoin

Created by gwern on 2012-09-21; known on 2013-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2012-09-21
• gwern said “http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=665” on 2012-09-21
• gwern said “BoB hasn’t judged yet, but marking wrong based on the statements in http://arstechnica.com/business/2013/06/gold-in-them-bits-inside-the-worlds-most-mysterious-bitcoin-mining-company/ that the 350 bet is lost” on 2013-07-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-01.