Earth will still exist in current form, most humans non-uploaded, and disease & old age & work & natural birth still existing —MixedNuts

Created by gwern on 2012-09-27; known on 2112-09-27

• gwern estimated 35% on 2012-09-27
• gwern said “http://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Bets_registry#Bets_decided_in_2112 Mixed: http://lesswrong.com/lw/ece/rationality_quotes_september_2012/7gqw EY: http://lesswrong.com/lw/ece/rationality_quotes_september_2012/7ijk” on 2012-09-27
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2012-09-27
• Athrelon estimated 80% and said “Not higher because “uploaded humans” is ambiguous, and having had one, it’s trivial to have >7B.” on 2012-09-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2012-09-27
• NancyLebovitz said “Going back to the link: this is an estimate for about 100 years.” on 2012-10-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 40% on 2012-10-13
• Gurkenglas estimated 30% on 2013-07-29
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 30% on 2018-12-08
• pranomostro estimated 25% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 23% on 2018-12-12