I'll lose 10 pounds before Summit 2012.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-09-29; known on 2012-10-15; judged wrong by lukeprog on 2012-10-15.

• lukeprog estimated 15% on 2012-09-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 30% on 2012-09-29
• Pablo estimated 10% on 2012-09-29
• gwern estimated 40% and said “weight is highly variable; in the past 3 months, my high was 10lbs heavier than I am now, and I am uninterested in losing weight” on 2012-10-01
• chemotaxis101 estimated 10% on 2012-10-13
• lukeprog   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-15.