I will not pass Eliezer in LW karma in the next 10 years.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-09-29; known on 2022-09-29; judged right by lukeprog on 2022-09-29.

• lukeprog estimated 85% on 2012-09-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 70% on 2012-09-29
• Pablo estimated 85% on 2012-09-29
• gwern estimated 90% on 2012-10-01
• chemotaxis101 estimated 90% on 2012-10-13
• Ken estimated 90% on 2012-11-12
• alecbrooks estimated 90% on 2012-11-21
• Tuxedage estimated 90% on 2013-01-05
• iconreforged estimated 65% on 2013-01-14
• Flipnash estimated 87% on 2013-08-17
• ​ estimated 80% on 2014-02-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 54% on 2016-08-14
• themusicgod1 estimated 67% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 90% on 2018-11-10
• Baeboo estimated 100% on 2018-11-10
• lukeprog   judged this prediction right on 2022-09-29.