PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

I will not publish an NYT bestseller in 2013.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-09-29; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by lukeprog on 2014-01-01.

  • lukeprog estimated 98% on 2012-09-29
  • Pablo estimated 100% and said “Do you really believe there’s a one-in-fifty chance that you’ll publish a NYT bestseller next year?!” on 2012-09-29
  • gwern estimated 99% on 2012-10-01
  • Pablo said “See also here: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/8486” on 2012-10-01
  • ChristianKl estimated 100% on 2012-11-29
  • Tuxedage estimated 99% on 2013-01-03
  • lukeprog   judged this prediction right on 2014-01-01.
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