Goldbach's conjecture proven by 2040. — Axel Boldt

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2041-01-01

• Pablo estimated 60% on 2012-10-01
• Pablo said “Context: http://math-www.uni-paderborn.de/~axel/predictions.html” on 2012-10-01
• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-10-01
• RandomThinker estimated 15% and said “No special knowledge, but I think Goldbach is harder / will take longer than Riemann since less people work on it.” on 2012-10-02
• onthestairs estimated 5% on 2012-10-02
• chemotaxis101 estimated 50% on 2012-10-13
• Qiaochu estimated 30% on 2012-12-06
• anonym estimated 30% on 2014-09-30
• rebellionkid estimated 30% on 2014-10-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 10% and said “Random: Yes, but there’s been a lot more progress on this sort of problem than there has been on RH. See the successful proof ot the odd primes version for example. ” on 2014-10-02
• JoshuaZ said “Er, sum of 3 primes to an odd number is what I meant. ” on 2014-10-02
• pranomostro estimated 38% on 2018-12-08
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2018-12-12