By 2100, world economic growth rates will have increased by over a factor of a hundred. — Robin Hanson

Created by Pablo on 2012-10-01; known on 2101-01-01

• Pablo estimated 25% on 2012-10-01
• Pablo said “Context: http://hanson.gmu.edu/wildideas.html” on 2012-10-01
• gwern said “are we interpreting this as ‘at anytime between now and 2100, annual global growth rates hit >100%’ or as ‘in 2100, global growth rate will be >100%’?” on 2012-10-01
• Pablo said “I was assuming the first interpretation.” on 2012-10-01
• kilobug estimated 5% on 2012-10-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 15% on 2012-10-13
• RandomThinker estimated 5% on 2012-10-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 31% on 2012-10-31
• Patrick Brinich-Langlois said “World GDP growth has averaged around four percent a year over the last decade (http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=xx&v=66), so this prediction would imply a quadrupling of GDP every year, right?” on 2012-12-01
• Pablo said “Yes. See Hanson’s paper on growth as a sequence of exponential modes.” on 2015-02-10
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “If that did happen, the entire concept of GDP would be meaningless.” on 2016-03-27
• themusicgod1 estimated 46% on 2016-10-10