They'll clone a woolly mammoth by 2040

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-05; known on 2040-12-31

• RandomThinker estimated 40% on 2012-10-05
• RandomThinker said “Boy discovers well preserved remains in Siberia. http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2012/10/boy-discovers-mammoth.html” on 2012-10-05
• NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-10-05
• gwern estimated 60% and said “too tempting, too much preliminary work” on 2012-10-06
• Pablo estimated 60% on 2012-10-06
• Pablo estimated 60% on 2012-10-06
• Pablo estimated 60% on 2012-10-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2012-10-08
• sharanga estimated 5% on 2012-10-10
• kilobug estimated 60% on 2012-10-10
• JFE estimated 79% on 2012-10-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 55% on 2012-10-13
• beo_shaffer estimated 55% on 2012-10-15
• RandomThinker estimated 55% and said “Might happen much faster. Still getting press:http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/02/magazine/the-mammoth-cometh.html” on 2014-03-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 54% on 2016-10-10