LSD microdosing experiment: pair 1: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-10-08; known on 2012-10-09; judged right by gwern on 2012-10-08.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2012-10-08
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-10-08.
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-10-08” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16

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