Assuming Obama wins second term, repubs will try to impeach him sometime during the his second term

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-24; known on 2017-01-01; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2017-01-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-10-24
• RandomThinker said “can’t take credit for this, a reader comment on this article, but it’s interesting to consider http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2012/10/24/trump_october_surprise_donald_trump_offers_5_million_for_release_of_obama.html” on 2012-10-24
• gwern estimated 7% and said “no way. both sides learned from the Clinton fiasco.” on 2012-10-24
• RandomThinker said “@gwern politicians and learning are 2 non-mixing concepts” on 2012-10-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2012-10-25
• Jayson Virissimo said “What would be count as “trying”?” on 2012-10-27
• RandomThinker said “@jayson they will vote on a motion to impeach in the house or senate” on 2012-10-27
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 25% on 2012-10-28
• Qiaochu estimated 10% and said “People might talk about impeaching Obama but actually doing it could easily backfire. ” on 2012-10-29
• Ken estimated 5% on 2012-11-12
• ChristianKl estimated 10% on 2012-11-29
• Yvain estimated 25% on 2012-12-25
• ygert estimated 20% on 2012-12-25
• ygert estimated 10% on 2012-12-25
• PBook1226 estimated 5% on 2012-12-27
• rebellionkid estimated 5% on 2014-06-12
• themusicgod1 estimated 4% and said “if they were going to do this, they would have done it by now.” on 2016-10-10
• Osuniev estimated 1% on 2016-11-21
• two2thehead estimated 1% on 2016-11-21
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.