Donald Trump won't pay out on his $5m offer to Obama to release educational transcripts

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-24; known on 2014-01-01; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

• RandomThinker estimated 75% on 2012-10-24
• RandomThinker said “Either because Obama won’t accept or Trump will back out at some point” on 2012-10-24
• gwern estimated 80% on 2012-10-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2012-10-25
• NathanMcKnight estimated 70% on 2012-10-25
• museveni estimated 70% and said “Obama gains nothing by accepting. Especially during election season, its best for him to ignore it. ” on 2012-10-28
• drethelin estimated 90% on 2012-10-29
• RandomThinker said “His deadline was 10/31, which is now past http://fox2now.com/2012/10/24/donald-trump-offers-5-million-to-reveal-obamas-private-past/” on 2012-11-07
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.