Assuming Obama wins second term, Bernanke will continue as Fed chairman

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-24; known on 2014-02-15; judged wrong by dk on 2014-03-23.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-10-24
• RandomThinker said “Even though he says he’ll step down. http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international-business/hot-seats-up-for-grabs-who-will-succeed-timothy-geithner-and-ben-bernanke/articleshow/16936306.cms” on 2012-10-24
• gwern estimated 50% and said “he’s been taking a beating in the econosphere and has been there a long time… I see reasons both to leave and stay, quite aside from any public statements” on 2012-10-24
• Andrew MacFie estimated 50% on 2014-01-27
• dk   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-03-23.