LSD microdosing experiment: pair 2: placebo then active?

Created by gwern on 2012-10-26; known on 2012-10-27; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-26.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2012-10-26
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-26.
• gwern changed the deadline from “on 2012-10-26” and made the prediction on 2013-10-16