The death toll from hurricane Sandy will be lower than that from Katrina.

Created by Matt on 2012-10-29; known on 2012-11-29; judged right by Matt on 2012-11-29.

• Matt estimated 80% on 2012-10-29
• NathanMcKnight estimated 90% on 2012-10-29
• NathanMcKnight estimated 90% on 2012-10-29
• gwern estimated 75% on 2012-10-29
• RandomThinker estimated 79% on 2012-10-29
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2012-10-30
• faws estimated 87% on 2012-10-30
• davidiach estimated 80% on 2012-10-30
• JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2012-10-30
• Qiaochu estimated 95% on 2012-10-31
• Matt estimated 99% and said “UK Guardian reporting 133+ at Oct 31: http://j.mp/SxWhGl (hat’ll rise, but probably not by much).Wiki reports 1,836 for Katrina: http://j.mp/SxWx8u” on 2012-11-01
• Sarokrae estimated 90% on 2012-11-05
• kilobug estimated 80% on 2012-11-09
• Matt said “Wiki says 185 + 22 missing, 2012-11-10: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_sandy#Impact” on 2012-11-09
• kiba estimated 99% on 2012-11-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 100% on 2012-11-25
• BundleGerbe estimated 99% on 2012-11-27
• RandomThinker said “Google says 1833 for Katrina. Wiki says 131 for Sandy in the US, 253 globally. ” on 2012-11-28
• Matt   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-29.
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