Romney will win Iowa

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-29; known on 2012-12-08; judged wrong by smijer on 2012-11-07.

• RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-10-29
• smijer estimated 45% on 2012-11-03
• gwern estimated 50% on 2012-11-04
• Qiaochu estimated 17% on 2012-11-04
• Sarokrae estimated 65% on 2012-11-05
• smijer   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.
• smijer   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-07.