Rossi's energy black box actually harnesses a third type of nuclear reaction
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-10-30; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2013-12-31.
- RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-10-30
- RandomThinker said “Some breathless reporting. http://www.popsci.com/science/article/2012-10/andrea-rossis-black-box?single-page-view” on 2012-10-30
- NathanMcKnight estimated 5% and said “It’s surprising—or it should be—that PopSci is using the term “scientist” to describe anybody in this story. ” on 2012-10-30
- JoshuaZ said “Third type compared to what? Do you mean compared to weak or strong interactions? ” on 2012-10-30
- RandomThinker said “@Josh I’m just going by that article. It’s not fission, it’s not fusion, it’s mysteeerious nuclear energy!” on 2012-10-31
- JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2012-10-31
- smijer estimated 1% on 2012-11-03
- gwern estimated 2% on 2012-11-04
- drethelin estimated 2% on 2012-11-08
- mfb estimated 1% on 2012-11-10
- ChristianKl estimated 1% on 2012-11-29
- PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2013-11-16
- CarlShulman estimated 1% on 2013-12-08
- PseudonymousUser said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_Catalyzer” on 2013-12-31
- PseudonymousUser said “http://arxiv.org/abs/1305.3913” on 2013-12-31
- PseudonymousUser said “http://arxiv.org/abs/1306.6364” on 2013-12-31
- PseudonymousUser judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-31.
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