The year 2038 problem will be more interesting than y2k

Created by Adam on 2008-07-18; known on 2038-07-18; judged unknown by anonym on 2009-11-07.

• Adam estimated 80% on 2008-07-18
• Glenn estimated 90% on 2008-07-18
• Matt estimated 10% on 2008-07-18
• anonym   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-17.
• anonym   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
• anonym estimated 98% on 2009-10-17
• atrus   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-11-02.
• atrus said “I don’t think this will all that much of a problem, we will be using higher bit numbers by then.” on 2009-11-02
• anonym   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-11-07.
• anonym said “atrus: this can’t be known yet, so shouldn’t be judged right or wrong.” on 2009-11-07
• gwern estimated 10% and said “doubt it; the 64-bit switch solves this automatically, and much of the worst software was improved for y2k.” on 2010-07-29
• Baeboo estimated 7% on 2017-11-25
• pranomostro estimated 20% and said “It already is more interesting, but I don’t think it will be as big a problem.” on 2018-11-25
• deleteyourbrain estimated 0% on 2019-04-26