New Star Wars movie out before end of 2015
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-02; known on 2015-12-31; judged right by kuudes on 2015-12-16.
- RandomThinker estimated 65% on 2012-11-02
- RandomThinker said “That’s what’s reported, and I think it’s probably accurate. No need to go contrarian here. http://www.forbes.com/sites/dorothypomerantz/2012/10/30/disney-planning-new-star-wars-movie-with-lucasfilms-purchase/” on 2012-11-02
- gwern estimated 50% and said “planning doesn’t mean it’ll make it out on time. disney is big and corporate, but there’s no overwhelming reason it has to be out before 2016” on 2012-11-03
- lukeprog estimated 55% on 2012-11-11
- Mathir25 estimated 60% on 2012-12-06
- Tuxedage estimated 58% on 2013-01-03
- Qiaochu estimated 40% on 2013-01-04
- DrDiaphanous estimated 65% on 2013-01-10
- Andrew MacFie estimated 50% and said “apparent release date: December 18, 2015” on 2014-06-29
- Andrew MacFie estimated 60% on 2015-01-31
- doxievee estimated 75% on 2015-01-31
- ehareifelnakes said “<br><br><a href="http://discountuggs822.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br>” on 2015-03-05
- eonelle said “<br><br><a href="http://cheapwatches819.webs.com"> blog </a><br><br>” on 2015-03-20
- Andrew MacFie estimated 70% on 2015-05-27
- Andrew MacFie estimated 80% on 2015-06-20
- qznc estimated 95% on 2015-11-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 96% on 2015-11-25
- JoshuaZ estimated 97% on 2015-12-03
- Andrew MacFie estimated 99% on 2015-12-04
- kuudes estimated 98% on 2015-12-04
- kuudes judged this prediction right on 2015-12-16.
- kuudes said “https://variety.com/2015/film/news/star-wars-premiere-preparation-1201659677/” on 2015-12-16