Nate Silver will become a public expert on climate change statistics by the year 2016

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08; known on 2016-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2017-01-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 40% on 2012-11-08
• chemotaxis101 estimated 25% on 2012-11-08
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% on 2012-11-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 22% on 2012-11-11
• Ken estimated 20% on 2012-11-12
• Qiaochu estimated 15% on 2012-11-15
• RobbBB estimated 4% on 2012-11-24
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2017-01-01.