Assassination Classroom: Kerosensei will be revealed to be ill or dying (target date a year from the start)

Created by gwern on 2012-11-08; known on 2015-11-08; judged right by drethelin on 2016-06-25.

• gwern estimated 25% on 2012-11-08
• gwern said “Observations: he lives life so fast; octopuses are not that long-lived; it would explain his hurry and lack of care if a student succeeds; thematically appropriate for loving a dead woman & final wishes; student mixes a medicine for him etc” on 2012-11-08
• drethelin estimated 30% on 2012-11-08
• drethelin   judged this prediction right on 2016-06-25.