If Star Wars VII is released in 2015, then it will have a higher RottenTomatoes score than 'The Phantom Menace' at the end of 2015.

Created by lukeprog on 2012-11-11; known on 2016-01-01; judged right by lukeprog on 2016-01-01.

• lukeprog estimated 70% on 2012-11-11
• RandomThinker said “See related. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/9203” on 2012-11-11
• Torquil estimated 80% on 2012-11-24
• RobbBB estimated 66% on 2012-11-24
• Pablo said “Why not restate the prediction as: Star Wars VII will have a higher RottenTomatoes score than ‘The Phantom Menace’ at the end of the year in which it is released."? On this restatement, we won’t have to withdraw the prediction…” on 2012-11-24
• Pablo said “…if Star Wars VII is not released in 2015. Or is there anything that makes that year special?” on 2012-11-24
• banx estimated 70% on 2012-11-27
• alecbrooks estimated 60% on 2013-01-05
• Jayson Virissimo said “What happens in the case that a Star Wars film is released, but it is not Episode VII?” on 2013-01-06
• moridinamael estimated 95% on 2013-02-06
• Andrew MacFie estimated 50% on 2015-06-20
• Andrew MacFie said “Make joint predictions, not conditionals” on 2015-12-04
• lukeprog   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-01.
• gwern said “94% (!!!) vs 56% http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/star_wars_episode_vii_the_force_awakens/ http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/star_wars_episode_i_the_phantom_menace/” on 2016-01-01