Hillary Clinton to withdraw from the US presidential election by March 17th, 2016, and Martin O'Malley to be the Democratic nominee.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-23; known on 2016-03-17; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2016-03-17.

• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2015-05-23
• JoshuaZ said “Note that I’ve set the deadline for the Clinton withdrawal. If that aspect occurs then I’ll go and change the final deadline. ” on 2015-05-23
• JoshuaZ said “http://www.usmessageboard.com/threads/iowa-high-information-democrat-voters-cant-name-anything-hillary-accomplished-as-sec-of-state.420453/page-3#post-11450949 Context is bet with Steve_McGarrett for $25.” on 2015-05-23
• orthonormal estimated 2% and said “Stranger things have happened in US politics. Not that often, though.” on 2015-06-01
• David estimated 1% on 2015-06-07
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2015-06-08
• jasticE estimated 1% on 2015-06-18
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2015-06-20
• davidmanheim estimated 1% and said “Bernie would end up the nominee at this point, not O’Malley” on 2016-02-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-02-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-02-02
• EloiseRosen estimated 0% on 2016-02-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-02-18
• Andrew MacFie estimated 1% on 2016-02-21
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2016-02-21
• kuudes estimated 0% on 2016-02-21
• themusicgod1 estimated 0% on 2016-03-02
• jesselevine estimated 0% on 2016-03-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2016-03-13
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-03-17.
• JoshuaZ said “(Note: Steve is apparently not paying up.) ” on 2016-03-17