“U.S. private reserves may run out by 2015” —CISFHR

Created by gwern on 2010-08-20; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2015-01-01.

• gwern estimated 45% on 2010-08-20
• gwern said “http://pubs.acs.org/subscribe/archive/ci/31/i06/html/06chem.html” on 2010-08-20
• Larks estimated 10% on 2010-09-29
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.