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Despite Federal takeover, ‘Fannie Mae’ and ‘Freddie Mac' will become insolvent, and ultimately bankrupt

Created by Glenn on 2008-09-08; known on 2009-12-31; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • Glenn estimated 60% on 2008-09-08
  • gwern said “Not bankrupt within your timeframe, so marking this wrong.” on 2010-07-29
  • gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2010-07-29.