HP MOR: “And then he greeted Death as an old friend and went with him gladly, departing this life as equals.” this is a quote from harry potter cannon. my prediction is that being marked as an equal in HPMOR refers to the invisibility cloak.

Created by esran on 2013-07-28; known on 2016-01-02; judged wrong by Oscar_Cunningham on 2015-03-26.

• esran estimated 20% on 2013-07-28
• esran changed the deadline from “on 2013-01-01” on 2013-07-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 5% on 2013-07-28
• Oscar_Cunningham estimated 1% on 2013-07-29
• lavalamp estimated 3% on 2013-07-31
• Osuniev estimated 40% and said “As explained here : http://lesswrong.com/lw/b7s/harry_potter_and_the_methods_of_rationality/841h” on 2013-07-31
• nigr estimated 10% and said “very speculative but there is Quirrelmort” on 2013-08-15
• player_03 estimated 10% on 2014-04-24
• Oscar_Cunningham   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-03-26.