Eliezer Yudkowsky has never read a book written by Andrea Dworkin.

Created by tedks on 2014-01-08; known on 2014-01-08

• tedks estimated 95% on 2014-01-08
• itaibn estimated 90% on 2014-01-11
• KnaveOfAllTrades estimated 99% and said “I.e. he has not started reading more than two, and the sum of the fractions of the one or two is less than a half.” on 2014-01-15
• KnaveOfAllTrades said “Actually, more meaningful I guess is to ask what criteria you’re using, tedks?” on 2014-01-15
• Jayson Virissimo said “This is not a verifiable prediction. Try something like “Eliezer will deny having ever read a book by Andrea Dworkin when I ask him on {date}”.” on 2014-01-16
• tedks said “This is a record of my belief in the above statement at the time it was made. I’ll mark it verified if I feel it’s true. Anyone else is free to mark it true/false if they feel they have objective evidence to that effect.” on 2014-01-17
• themusicgod1 estimated 49% and said “This seems pretty easy to verify” on 2016-03-02
• themusicgod1 estimated 51% on 2016-03-02