The James Webb Telescope will launch successfully by the end of 2019

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-18; known on 2020-01-01

  • JoshuaZ estimated 58% on 2011-08-18
  • gwern estimated 40% and said “are you including the risk of cancellation?on 2011-08-18
  • JoshuaZ said “Yes. The main item against this is the possibility of cancelation. If it isn’t canceled 2018 or 2019 launch seems very likely. on 2011-08-18
  • JoshuaZ changed the deadline from “on 2012-01-01on 2012-01-01
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-09

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