US GDP will not decline by 10.0% or more from its peak value between Q4 2008 and Q4 2009 (inclusive)

Created by InTrade on 2009-10-14; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2010-07-29.

  • InTrade estimated 95% on 2009-10-14
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2010-07-29.

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