Human whole-genome sequencing <=$100 by 2020.

Created by gwern on 2012-01-28; known on 2020-01-01

• gwern estimated 40% on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “at least below $1000: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5544” on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “background: http://lesswrong.com/lw/9em/open_thread_january_1531_2012/5s7c” on 2012-01-28
• RobertLumley estimated 25% and said “There’s a government prize for $1000, and once it reaches $300 or so, I don’t think there’s that much incentive to get it much lower. It will drop off significantly, at least.” on 2012-01-28
• JoshuaZ estimated 45% on 2015-09-15
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% and said “going to be close” 18 days ago

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