Google will buy RIMM before the end of 2013

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-01; known on 2013-12-31; judged wrong by mastermind8189 on 2013-12-28.

• RandomThinker estimated 35% on 2012-05-01
• gwern estimated 15% and said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4942 – only scenario I see as half-credible is buying RIM for patents, but there could also just be a patent deal” on 2012-05-01
• RandomThinker said “@gwern thanks for the pointer. Think Google is more likely than Microsoft. Amazon is also possible. Google > Amazon > MSFT. Of course, the problem is adding up these probabilities and getting > 100%.” on 2012-05-01
• davidiach estimated 10% on 2012-06-06
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 5% on 2012-07-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 1% and said “Assuming a completed transaction” on 2013-11-16
• mastermind8189   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-28.