I will complete Remembering the Kanji 1 before 2014.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-10-10; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by Jayson Virissimo on 2014-01-16.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2012-10-10
• NathanMcKnight estimated 10% and said “Katagana or hiragana, no problem…but kanji is a little more challenging. Native Japanese speakers routinely forget some of the more obscure characters.” on 2012-10-11
• NathanMcKnight said “Choose an arbitrary number and specify how your knowledge will be tested, and it’ll be easier to come up with a %. ” on 2012-10-11
• NathanMcKnight said “*number of characters” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo said “How long have you been studying Heisig’s book for?” on 2012-10-11
• Jayson Virissimo said “I started the same day I posted this prediction statement, giving me over a year to learn 2200 kanji.” on 2012-10-11
• Jayson Virissimo said “My plan is to go through a single lesson each workday (4 days a week) and review them via Anki as I go. There are only 56 lessons total, but I’m anticipating massive error due to the planning fallacy.” on 2012-10-11
• NathanMcKnight estimated 50% and said “Oh….I misread your prediction. I didn’t realize “Remembering the Kanji” was a book. I thought you meant you were trying to memorize the WHOLE kanji. :)” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo estimated 15% and said “I hope you succeed, but this is an ambitious goal.” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo said “The book Remembering the kanji is supposed to teach you all kanji 1850 established as standard by the Japanese Ministry of Education in 1946, plus a few others.” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo said “I meant to write “all 1850 kanji” in the comment above.” on 2012-10-11
• Pablo said “Jason, did you complete “Learn Ruby the Hard Way”?” on 2012-10-11
• Jayson Virissimo said “No, I dumped it for Pine’s intro.” on 2012-10-12
• Jayson Virissimo said “For what it’s worth, according to my SRS data, I can reliably remember more than 3% of the 2200 already.” on 2012-10-18
• Jayson Virissimo   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-16.