gwern.net referral traffic will average <1000 daily visits in the week a year from now

Created by gwern on 2012-12-17; known on 2013-12-17; judged right by gwern on 2013-12-17.

• gwern estimated 55% on 2012-12-17
• gwern said “previous: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4894” on 2012-12-17
• gwern said “for context: December 2011 averaged ~190 referrals a day, December 2012 averaged ~440 a day, so presumably maybe ~900 in December 2013?” on 2012-12-17
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2013-12-17.