gwern.net total traffic will average >2000 daily visits in the week a year from now

Created by gwern on 2012-12-17; known on 2013-12-17; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-12-17.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-12-17
• gwern said “previously: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/4895 ” on 2012-12-17
• gwern said “I don’t really understand why daily visits increased so much and screwed the previous prediction, so I’m being less confident than one might expect given a current average of 2260 and presumably only going up as I keep adding content” on 2012-12-17
• gwern said “halved! :( https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/243666993/gwernnet-alltraffic-dec2012vs2013.pdf due to fall of SR, lost all the traffic to that page. didn’t see that coming. big mistake on my part not realizing SR traffic would collapse w/site” on 2013-12-17
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-12-17.