Jeb Bush will announce a candidacy for president in 2012

Created by gwern on 2010-11-09; known on 2012-06-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-06-01.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-11-09
• gwern said “see also 2016: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1936” on 2010-11-09
• saturn estimated 2% on 2012-03-28
• RandomThinker estimated 5% on 2012-03-28
• gwern said “and romney has clinched the nomination, so it’s quite too late” on 2012-06-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-06-01.