HP MoR: the troll attack in ch88-89 was executed by Lucius Malfoy

Created by Petruchio on 2013-07-11; known on 2015-06-30; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-21.

• Petruchio estimated 20% on 2013-07-11
• William-Quixote estimated 20% on 2013-07-12
• gwern estimated 10% and said “Snape: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/19862” on 2013-07-13
• Petruchio changed the deadline from “on 2015-06-30” and changed their prediction from “HP MoR: the troll attack in ch88-89 was executed by Lucius Malfoy” on 2013-07-13
• azax1 estimated 10% on 2013-07-19
• DubiousTwizzler estimated 5% on 2013-07-22
• Flipnash estimated 2% on 2013-08-17
• DEA7TH estimated 10% on 2014-02-28
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction wrong on 2015-05-21.