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SpaceX Starship to land on moon by end of 2026.

#spacex

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-04-30; known on 2027-01-01

  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2021-04-30
  • JoshuaZ said “Copy of https://predictionbook.com/predictions/204159 due to software issues. ” on 2021-04-30
  • JoshuaZ said “Note percent hit due to stopwork order due to bid protest.” on 2021-04-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 53% and said “Updating based on Starship 15 landing. ” on 2021-05-06
  • Ben estimated 30% on 2021-05-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% and said “Based on Cantwell’s proposed legislation. If legislation passes with no increase in budget, then drops to 40. ” on 2021-05-14
  • Alessandro Molari estimated 70% on 2021-06-16
  • M estimated 65% on 2021-11-30
  • JoshuaZ estimated 52% on 2021-12-28
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 35% and said “#spacex” on 2021-12-28
  • stepan estimated 15% on 2021-12-29
  • JoshuaZ estimated 51% on 2022-01-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 49% and said “Updating based on FAA delays. ” on 2022-02-14