'Oil price will go over $100/barrel at some time this year' —scav
- gwern estimated 70% on 2011-01-10
- gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/3ae0” on 2011-01-10
- gwern said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2056” on 2011-01-10
- scav estimated 80% on 2011-01-11
- scav judged this prediction right on 2011-03-03.
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