Intrade will be open for business by 31 December 2014

Created by najdorf on 2013-11-11; known on 2014-12-31; judged wrong by najdorf on 2014-12-31.

• najdorf estimated 10% on 2013-11-11
• najdorf made the prediction on 2013-11-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2013-11-11
• gwern estimated 33% and said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2053” on 2013-11-12
• kuudes estimated 1% on 2014-12-01
• qznc estimated 1% on 2014-12-03
• najdorf   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-12-31.