The world will not end on December 2012.

Created by puya on 2011-03-18; known on 2012-12-31; judged right by gwern on 2012-12-31.

• puya estimated 99% on 2011-03-18
• puya estimated 99% on 2011-03-18
• gwern estimated 100% and said “Something of a dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/521” on 2011-03-18
• Nic_Smith estimated 100% and said “Ah — but that claim would be true if the world were to end in November or any other month.” on 2011-03-21
• kilobug estimated 100% on 2011-11-18
• Tuxedage estimated 100% on 2012-12-28
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-12-31.