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The world will end in 2012

Created by jes5199 on 2009-10-15; known on 2013-01-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2013-01-01.

  • jes5199 estimated 30% on 2009-10-15
  • Matt estimated 0% and said “If I’m wrong on this one I don’t expect to suffer the reputation hit.” on 2009-10-15
  • stephenh estimated 1% on 2009-10-15
  • max   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-15.
  • othercriteria   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-15.
  • othercriteria estimated 0% on 2009-10-15
  • pre   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-15.
  • pre   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-15.
  • freyley estimated 97% and said “define “world will end”?” on 2009-10-15
  • gzero   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-15.
  • Matt   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-15.
  • anonym   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • anonym estimated 1% on 2009-10-17
  • NieAlane estimated 99% on 2009-10-18
  • NieAlane estimated 1% on 2009-10-18
  • VoiceOfAuthority estimated 0% on 2009-10-19
  • Martin Chase   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-21.
  • Martin Chase   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
  • Martin Chase estimated 1% on 2009-10-21
  • faws estimated 100% on 2009-10-22
  • faws estimated 0% on 2009-10-22
  • faws estimated 0% on 2009-10-22
  • faws estimated 0% on 2009-10-22
  • faws said “There should be a way to edit your predition, and having probabilities below 50% displayed as probabilities against can be confusing :(” on 2009-10-22
  • ssowle   judged this prediction right on 2009-10-31.
  • ssowle   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-31.
  • ssowle estimated 0% on 2009-10-31
  • im estimated 1% on 2009-11-02
  • nirav72   judged this prediction wrong on 2009-11-02.
  • Martin Chase   judged this prediction unknown on 2009-11-17.
  • divide estimated 0% on 2010-09-29
  • gwern estimated 0% on 2010-10-19
  • Nic_Smith estimated 0% on 2011-03-21
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2011-05-24
  • Isaac estimated 75% on 2011-10-01
  • saturn estimated 0% on 2012-03-28
  • thephilosiraptor estimated 0% on 2013-01-01
  • JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-01-01.