The judge will rule that Julian Assange be extradited to Sweden after hearings in July.

Created by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-04-07; known on 2011-10-01; judged right by Sandra Åhlén on 2011-11-02.

• Sandra Åhlén estimated 60% on 2011-04-07
• gwern estimated 50% and said “see also http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1976” on 2011-04-09
• torekp estimated 65% on 2011-04-30
• gwern said “http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/2011/jul/13/julian-assange-appeal-sexual-complaints predicts in another month, bumping date” on 2011-07-31
• Sandra Åhlén changed the deadline from “on 2011-07-31” on 2011-07-31
• fergus estimated 80% on 2011-08-19
• gwern said “nothing in the news; bumping forward another month.” on 2011-08-31
• Sandra Åhlén changed the deadline from “on 2011-08-31” on 2011-08-31
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-08-31
• Laurent Bossavit said “tags: international, justice” on 2011-09-04
• Robert Kosten estimated 80% on 2011-09-11
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 50% on 2011-10-13
• fergus   judged this prediction right on 2011-10-21.
• Sandra Åhlén   judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-02.
• Sandra Åhlén   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-02.