'Facebook will have an IPO within 1 year: 40% confidence' —Arthur Breitman

Created by gwern on 2011-06-09; known on 2012-06-09; judged right by gwern on 2012-02-02.

• gwern estimated 25% on 2011-06-09
• gwern said “2 years: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2800” on 2011-06-09
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2012-02-02.