Obama is going to be re-elected as president in 2012.
- Alexander Kruel estimated 80% on 2011-08-17
- gwern said “This is a dupe of like 10 predictions, one made a day before! http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3090” on 2011-08-17
- Pablo Stafforini estimated 78% and said “Intrade: 78.3” on 2012-09-29
- Jach judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.
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