Obama is going to be re-elected as president in 2012.

Created by Alexander Kruel on 2011-08-17; known on 2012-11-06; judged right by Jach on 2012-11-07.

• Alexander Kruel estimated 80% on 2011-08-17
• gwern said “This is a dupe of like 10 predictions, one made a day before! http://predictionbook.com/predictions/3090” on 2011-08-17
• Pablo estimated 78% and said “Intrade: 78.3” on 2012-09-29
• Jach   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.