Obama will be elected President in 2012

Created by cmessinger on 2011-08-16; known on 2012-11-05; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.

  • cmessinger estimated 85% on 2011-08-16
  • JoshuaZ said “There are a few copies of this prediction floating around here. See predictions 542, 1243,1737, 2776, and 2813. on 2011-08-16
  • Matt estimated 51% and said “Tracking InTrade.on 2011-08-18
  • Zach Aletheia estimated 40% on 2011-08-18
  • lukeprog estimated 55% on 2012-09-04
  • sdr estimated 80% on 2012-09-13
  • Pablo Stafforini estimated 78% on 2012-09-27
  • Aticper estimated 80% on 2012-10-24
  • cmessinger changed the deadline from “on 2012-11-03on 2012-11-04
  • tedks estimated 67% on 2012-11-06
  • NathanMcKnight estimated 80% on 2012-11-06
  • tedks estimated 80% on 2012-11-07
  • HonoreDB  judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.

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