I will have watched every video on Khan Academy by August 2013.
Created by Alexander Kruel on 2011-08-17; known on 2013-08-17; judged wrong by dk on 2013-11-04.
- Alexander Kruel estimated 90% on 2011-08-17
- gwern estimated 60% and said “every single one? that sounds incredibly boring” on 2011-08-17
- JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2011-08-17
- PseudonymousUser estimated 19% and said “How many have you watched already?” on 2011-08-17
- gwern said “if I may point out, you have already failed to exercise substantial amounts of willpower over a period of years: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2909” on 2011-08-17
- Jach estimated 15% on 2011-08-18
- Alexander Kruel said “I have already watched all the videos in the Arithmetic and Computer Science section and almost finished the Algebra section.” on 2011-08-18
- roxton estimated 30% on 2011-09-19
- Pablo estimated 15% on 2012-10-06
- Malgidus estimated 40% and said “You could die, site could collapse, willpower, too many videos released, etc.” on 2013-03-27
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 20% on 2013-04-25
- holycow81 estimated 34% on 2013-06-09
- Flipnash estimated 46% on 2013-08-19
- dk judged this prediction wrong on 2013-11-04.