Luke Muehlhauser will make a prediction on PredictionBook before 2013.

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-10; known on 2013-01-01; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2011-11-12.

• Jayson Virissimo estimated 33% on 2011-11-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 33% on 2011-11-10
• JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-11-10
• chemotaxis101 estimated 35% on 2011-11-10
• gwern estimated 30% and said “perhaps if we taunt him enough, he will become so cross he will make a prediction” on 2011-11-10
• muflax estimated 25% on 2011-11-10
• PseudonymousUser said “assuming http://predictionbook.com/users/lukeprog is lukeprog” on 2011-11-12
• PseudonymousUser   judged this prediction right on 2011-11-12.