Human whole-genome sequencing <=$1000 by 2020.

Created by gwern on 2012-01-28; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by gwern on 2016-01-06.

• gwern estimated 85% on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “but will it be below $100? http://predictionbook.com/predictions/5545” on 2012-01-28
• gwern said “background: http://lesswrong.com/lw/9em/open_thread_january_1531_2012/5s7c” on 2012-01-28
• RobertLumley estimated 80% on 2012-01-28
• kuudes estimated 90% on 2014-12-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 80% on 2015-09-15
• gwern said “Veritas is offering 20x whole-genome to consumers signed up with PGP for $999! strictly speaking, not general public, but I think it’s close enough esp since Illumina has been claiming $1k for a year or so. marking right” on 2016-01-06
• gwern   judged this prediction right on 2016-01-06.

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