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I will have taken over at least one country by 2035.

Created by Anubhav on 2012-02-13; known on 2035-01-01

  • Anubhav estimated 0% on 2012-02-13
  • Anubhav said “~ -40 dB, I’d say. on 2012-02-13
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 0% and said “This will become more feasible once more micronations come online (remember Sealand?), but still very unlikely.on 2012-02-13
  • Anubhav said “Sealand = Not quite what I had in mind. on 2012-02-13
  • Anubhav said “Also, charter cities and reasonably sovereign seasteads count as countries.on 2012-02-13
  • gwern estimated 0% on 2012-02-14
  • RobertLumley estimated 0% on 2012-02-14
  • Anubhav said “I notice that 0% estimates are no longer showing up on the main page. Not that I’m complaining about it, but… it’s an odd design choice.on 2012-02-14
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2012-02-14
  • gwern said “Anubhav: may be a bug, Trike is preparing some sort of big switchon 2012-02-14
  • Emanuel Rylke estimated 0% on 2012-02-16
  • Nic_Smith estimated 0% on 2012-02-18
  • themusicgod1 estimated 8% on 2016-10-10
  • pranomostro estimated 0% on 2018-12-15
  • n99 estimated 0% on 2022-10-28
  • Reinersaltaccount estimated 0% and said “#politicson 2023-01-07
  • Baeboo estimated 0% on 2023-01-09
  • XTXinverseXTY estimated 0% on 2023-03-06