The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020.
Created by Jack on 2009-10-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.
- Jack estimated 70% on 2009-10-20
- jes5199 estimated 85% on 2009-10-20
- archgoon judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-20.
- freyley judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
- freyley estimated 92% on 2009-10-21
- anonym estimated 55% on 2009-10-21
- TheScholar estimated 99% and said “I’m not even sure that this problem is solvable.” on 2009-10-28
- lispozord estimated 25% on 2009-11-09
- MrHen estimated 90% on 2010-02-03
- gwern estimated 90% on 2010-09-16
- gwern said “TheScholar: looking at their website, Clay isn’t clear. It could be a independence or undecidability proof would be acceptable to claim the prize…” on 2010-09-18
- JoshuaZ estimated 80% and said “gwern: Showing this to be undecidable in something like ZFC would likely require completely new techniques. ” on 2010-09-29
- gwern said “see also by 2040 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2838 2013 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2837” on 2011-06-27
- JoshuaZ said “tags: math, computer science” on 2011-09-04
- Anubhav estimated 70% on 2011-10-12
- lispozord estimated 70% on 2014-05-15
- aarongertler estimated 90% on 2014-05-17
- rebellionkid estimated 70% on 2014-06-22
- Baeboo estimated 95% on 2017-11-25
- Athrithalix estimated 94% on 2018-02-22
- davatk estimated 95% on 2018-05-01
- pranomostro estimated 97% on 2018-11-25
- Baeboo estimated 97% on 2018-11-26
- deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
- Baeboo estimated 99% on 2019-04-26
- deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.